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Posted on ZDNet News: May 12, 2005 9:59:00 AM

Reuters Logo Microsoft Chairman Bill Gates sees mobile phones overtaking standalone MP3 players and views the raging popularity of Apple Computer's iPod player as unsustainable, he said in an interview published Thursday.

"As good as Apple may be, I don't believe the success of the iPod is sustainable in the long run," he said in an interview published in Germany's Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.


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"You can make parallels with computers: Apple was very strong in this field before, with its Macintosh and its graphics user interface--like the iPod today--and then lost its position," Gates said.

Apple has around two-thirds of the global market for MP3 music players, which store thousands of songs on pocket-sized disk drives or smaller flash memory chips. Apple sold more than 5 million iPods in the last quarter.

But it faces increasing competition not only from the likes of Sony, whose iconic Walkman dominated the personal audio market for two decades, but also from mobile-phone companies integrating MP3 players into handsets.

Partly in response to pressure from Apple, Microsoft is now positioning itself to be a key player in the growing market for digital movies, pictures and music.

It is working with partners such as Samsung to provide its Windows Mobile smart phone software to nearly 70 handset makers.

"If you were to ask me which mobile device will take top place for listening to music, I'd bet on the mobile phone for sure," Gates told the newspaper.

Gates made similar comments in an interview with CNET News.com earlier this week.

In the United States, however, Microsoft smart phones have been overshadowed by Research In Motion's BlackBerry wireless e-mail device, which has sold 3 million so far.

Gates said that Microsoft's upcoming Windows Mobile 5.0 --which will let e-mails pop up on a person's phone as soon as they arrive, and which is expected to be running phones on the market in the next few months--will be cheaper.

"The BlackBerry is great but we're bringing a new approach," he said. "With BlackBerry you need to link to a separate server, and that costs extra. With us, the e-mail function will already be part of the server software."

"Therefore I'd venture the prediction that Microsoft will make wireless e-mail ubiquitous."

He acknowledged, however, that Microsoft had made mistakes in the past.

"The consumer is always unpredictable. In principle, you can only throw products onto the market and then learn from your mistakes," he said.

And the 50-year-old Microsoft chairman said he will not remain with the company forever.

"I think that when someone is 60 years old, he should better leave it to someone else to follow trends in technology," he said. "But until then, there's still a lot to do."

Story Copyright © 2005 Reuters Limited. All rights reserved.

Story Copyright © 2005 Reuters Limited. All rights reserved.

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Posted by: myfevertoy Posted on: 10/22/06  (Edited: 11/22/2006 @ 05:02) You are currently: Logged In | Log out
He is right mlindl   | 05/12/05
Message has been deleted. myfevertoy   | 10/22/06
Symbian and iTunes FilledOut   | 05/12/05
Talks cheap... For once I'd like to see MS... el1jones   | 05/12/05
Whoops... was supposed to reply to story(nt) el1jones   | 05/12/05
Absolutely, Mr. Gates FirstNLastN   | 05/12/05
Gates is not a soothsayer endermc12   | 05/12/05
Re: Gates is not a soothsayer alterego_z   | 05/12/05
Not to mention... tic swayback   | 05/12/05
Maybe Apple will add VOIP to the iPod, and it will overtake cell phones. DonnieBoy   | 05/12/05
LOL, Good Point! (nt) el1jones   | 05/12/05
He's right, but... bidemytime   | 05/12/05
iPod replacement? Apple doesn't care bidemytime   | 05/12/05
It wouldn't be the end of the world, but Apple would like this to continue. DonnieBoy   | 05/12/05
Agreed bidemytime   | 05/12/05
Bill Gates is officially an idiot SNIL   | 05/12/05
Bill Gates seems Ken_z   | 05/12/05
We heard the same thing about the internet and mobile phones Argonnj   | 05/12/05
Yup nomorems   | 05/13/05
I just want a phone to be a phone Protector   | 05/12/05
Gates says mobile phones will overtake iPods Loverock Davidson   | 05/12/05
Agree. Cellphones are an aggregation point Prognosticator   | 05/12/05
Market share versus use bidemytime   | 05/12/05
Good point, but the odds are still in favor of cellphones Prognosticator   | 05/12/05
Agreed bidemytime   | 05/12/05
Pathetic little man... MacCanuck   | 05/12/05
Clarification... MacCanuck   | 05/12/05
Swayback says something will overtake Windows tic swayback   | 05/12/05
Gravity will overtake Windows.. Xunil_Sierutuf   | 05/12/05
Got a question for ya X Jeff Spicoli   | 05/12/05
Seriously! Jeff Spicoli   | 05/12/05
Gates may be right voska   | 05/12/05
Didn't he also predict... gtdworak   | 05/12/05
Nothing stays no. 1 forever--including Microsoft! Userama   | 05/12/05
Dream boy ( Bill)... pinpintalk@...   | 05/12/05
Well..What else would he say?.......:) Laff   | 05/12/05
iPod - is a "cultural phenomenon" pinpintalk@...   | 05/12/05
Swiss Army Phones STINK SkipNewarkDE   | 05/12/05
You know, they updated the Treo 300. They're up to 650 now. Baryn   | 05/12/05
Smart Phones are the PDA's of TODAY SkipNewarkDE   | 05/12/05
Disagree, and smartphones will evolve dramatically Prognosticator   | 05/12/05
Strongly disagree SkipNewarkDE   | 05/12/05
My boss has a Treo. SkipNewarkDE   | 05/12/05
You should really just get one... Baryn   | 05/12/05
Gates is Stating the Obvious Baryn   | 05/12/05
What do you do when you lose that SkipNewarkDE   | 05/12/05
In Your Case Baryn   | 05/12/05
Spent a lot on music! But seriously SkipNewarkDE   | 05/12/05
Not a Novelty Baryn   | 05/12/05
Hey you two.. nomorems   | 05/13/05
Well Baryn   | 05/14/05
80 Gigs, and Counting MonsterPuppy   | 05/13/05
hybrid vs purpose devices TWRX   | 05/13/05
FUD TWRX   | 05/12/05
All products are doomed hipparchus2000   | 05/12/05
Gates is losing it! Reverend MacFellow   | 05/13/05
Apples new iTunes phone is due in 2 months DebianDog   | 05/13/05
Hide Your IPod, Here Comes Bill BobF_z   | 05/13/05
This exactly supports Bill's forecast Prognosticator   | 05/13/05
Why Bill is wrong cpuguru   | 05/13/05
And this is from the guy who thought... Immanuel Tranz-Mischen   | 05/13/05
Good point... atlascott   | 05/18/05

What do you think?

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